If the net effect on economic activity is unlikely to be as large as bodies like the FSB estimate, are official calculations any closer to the truth?
如果对经济的净影响不像小企业联合会估计的那么大,那官方的计算会不会靠谱一点呢?
Trading desks would estimate the maximum possible loss on risky assets, hedge it and then record the net risk as minimal, inadvertently concealing huge tail risks in the gross exposure.
交易部门对风险资产的最大可能损失做了估计,对之进行对冲,然后将如此计算的最小风险净值记录在案,如此这般,却将风险毛值里的巨大的长尾风险疏忽性地掩盖起来。
There are no data on the actual number of black rural-urban migrants, but a defensible estimate would be a net of about 2.5 million during this 30-year period.
没有数据能表明具体的黑人乡-城移民数量,但据可靠估计,30年间的移民人数约为250万人。
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