The weather forecasters are not familiar with the ensemble forecast. And it's so difficult for them to extract the useful information from so many products.
对于我国的数值预报来说,集合预报的发展还处在初级阶段,一方面集合预报技术还不够成熟,一方面预报员对于集合预报的知识还不普及,如何从大量的集合预报产品中挑选有用的信息还是一个难点。
参考来源 - 中尺度模式不确定性与初值扰动试验研究·2,447,543篇论文数据,部分数据来源于NoteExpress
The ensemble forecast is not good at temperature forecast, but it is good at speed forecast.
集合预报对冬季低温和夏季高温等极端温度的预报能力较差,但对风速的预报体现一定优势。
The verification of the ensemble forecast results of a tropical Pacific air-sea coupled ensemble prediction system is discussed.
讨论了一个热带太平洋海气耦合集合预报系统集合预报的检验问题。
Using the ECMWF ensemble forecasting system as an example, a deterministic forecast case and a probability forecast case are discussed, respectively.
以欧洲中期天气预报中心的集合预报系统的控制预报和集合预报为例,对确定性预报和概率预报的情况分别进行了说明。
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