The hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an vent once that outcome is actually know.

事后诸葛亮，决策者的错误的信任，他们能精确的推出预言和事后的结果的。

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Finally, the hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an event once that outcome is actually known.

最后，事后诸葛亮是指决策者相信他们一定掌握了某事的基本情况，他们就能精确的预算出这件事的结果的趋向。

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They tend to produce complicated models that accurately correspond to past events, but may not do so well in predicting the future -- social scientists call the phenomenon "hindsight bias."

他们制造了复杂的模板精确地与过去的事件吻合，但是也许对于预测未来并不是很管用——社会学家管这种现象叫做“事后聪明偏差”。

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