The theory of linear regression and the theory of moving average are applied to analyse single data in time series, the model of a linear moving self regression forecast are given out.

应用线性回归分析和移动平均理论，对按时间次序排列的单一数据序列，给出了一种线性移动自回归预测模型，并对原始数据受不确定因素影响而产生的随机振荡，给出了合理的控制区间和运行通道。

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The Barclays global business confidence index declined further in May, to -0.45 from -0.02 (three month moving average), the largest single drop in this series since December 2008, the investment bank said on Tuesday.

FORBES: Global Business Confidence Falls To 2008 Levels