On the basis of qualitative analysis about the aerial defense system of formation, a mathematical model of quantitative analysis of target penetration probability under two conditions is presented.
在定性分析编队防空体系的基础上，提出了一个在两种情况下分别求解目标突防概率的数学模型。
Penetration probability is one of the basic indexes of the operation efficiency.
突防概率是反映作战效能的基本指标之一。
Base on the operational effect indexes, the penetration probability model of a single ASM is established. And then the effect and rationality of double-missiles fusillading are analyzed.
根据作战效果指标，建立了单发反舰导弹突防概率模型，研究了反舰导弹双发齐射的效果并论证了其合理性。
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