Given the observed hydrological data, the model can estimate the posterior probability distribution of each location of change-point by using the Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling method.

该模型的核心部分是根据观测到的资料，通过蒙特卡洛马尔科夫链随机抽样的方法来估计变点位置的后验概率分布。

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Considering the portfolios credit risk measurement, the use of importance sampling method is superior to crude Monte Carlo method.

因此对于组合信用风险的度量，使用重要抽样方法要优于简单蒙特卡罗方法。

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Monte Carlo Method is a method seeking the answer by adopting sampling statistics.

统计试验法是一种采用统计抽样理论近似地求解问题的方法。

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