Using the method, Hefei's high temperature days is tried out. 13 forecast samples are given with adopting rolling forecast.
应用该方法对合肥地区的高温日数进行了预测试验,利用滚动预报得到13个预报样本。
The high temperature days in 2003-2005 have been predicted using the pattern, it is found that the impact of tendency prediction in 2003 and 2004 is better.
也使用该模型做出华北地区2003—2005年3年的高温日数趋势预测,对2003年和2004年做出的趋势预测效果较好。
Low temperature days significantly decreased, but high temperature days increased a little, it had a very good consistency in the spatial distribution of the extreme temperature events.
低温日数有显著减少趋势,但高温日数有一个微弱的上升趋势,其变化趋势的空间分布具有很好的一致性。
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