The risk of flood operation mainly comes from the errors of flood and rainfall forecast, in the next place, the errors comes from the decision-maker's subjective preference.
水库汛限水位动态控制中的风险主要来自洪水预报和降雨预报的误差，其次来自决策者的决策误差。
Using improved Kalman filter to forecast and track. Kalman gain is improved through variable forgetting factor which will avoid the accumulation of errors.
卡尔曼增益通过变遗忘因子进行改进，避免误差的累积。
Some forecasting procedures sum the absolute values of the errors and may report this sum, or divide it by the number of forecast attempts to produce the average forecast error.
一些预测程序总计错误的绝对值而且可能报告这总数， 或藉着预测尝试的数字分开它生产平均的预测错误。
应用推荐