国家内部，不是国家之间 more within countries, rather between countries 专家也会搞错 Experts will get wrong 预言冷战的结束和苏联的解体 predict the end of Cold War and Soviet Break-up ..
Expertson leadershipwillquicklypoint out that "howthingsget done" influences the successofthe outcomesandindicates a rightwayand a wrongway to do things.