While still among the elite top-five shoo-ins for Best Picture (the others being Lincoln, Zero Dark Thirty, Silver Lining Playbook, and Les Miserables), I think this picture needs strong showings in the early awards season to make a comeback and really challenge Lincoln and Zero Dark Thirty at this point.
What Dwight knows is that he is among the topfiveelite players in the NBA and, with the right team structure, should be consistently competing for the top prize.