In the paper, the models of uncertain reasoning are focused, such as the reasoning model of Bayes probability, Reliability theory, D-S evidence theory and Neural Network.
本文主要涉及的不确定推理模型包括主观贝叶斯的概率推理模型，可信度理论推理模型，证据理论及其改进推理模型以及神经网络推理模型。
The results show that the results predicted by Bayes model are both in good agreement with the practical conditions and the results obtained from the neural network model and fuzzy probability model.
研究结果表明，该模型判别预测结果与人工神经网络模型及模糊概率模型的判别结果及实际岩爆情况较吻合。
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