Based on credibility theory and two-stage fuzzy optimization method, this paper presents a new class of fuzzy production planning model.

基于可信性理论和两阶段模糊优化方法，提出一类新的模糊生产计划模型。

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In this paper, the author presented the viewpoint that System simulation is based on model theory, simulation algorithms and simulation credibility evaluation theory.

本文提出将模型论、仿真算法和仿真可信度评估理论作为系统仿真学科的基础理论的观点。

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Based on the credibility theory, an algorithm for random fuzzy operational risk assessment is proposed, and power system operating risk is expressed by a random fuzzy expected value.

提出了基于可信性理论的运行风险评估算法，采用随机模糊变量的期望值表示全系统的运行风险指标。

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