针对目前以拟合精度作为模型选择标准的方法，提出了以预测值的置信区间最小为标准选择预测模型的方法。
View of the current selection of forecasting models in order to minimize the fitting error, a method of selecting forecast model was put forward based on minimum error of forecast.
然而，就像预测的数据有个置信区间，所以和未来的真实情况，预测值有一个较大的不确定性。
However, as shown by the confidence interval around your forecasted data, there is usually a large degree of uncertainty associated with the true future values.
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