考虑到有机体的生存环境通常存在许多不确定因素，我们用系综平均的方法给出准物种和误差阈的数值模拟。
Considering various uncontrollable factors in the living environment, we use the ensemble average to give the simulation of quasi-species and error threshold.
模拟结果同时证实，除非水均衡误差也相当小，否则水头变化收敛指标较小时收敛的计算也不能保证计算结果有可靠的精度。
Verified by simulation results reliable accuracy of calculated results can not be guaranteed for small head change convergence index unless the error of water balance is small too.
但用弹性运动学模型来进行运动学模拟后发现，这个计算误差并不大。
However, elastic kinematics model to simulate the kinematic and found that this calculation error is not significant.
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