基于大量油气田开发的实际资料，建立了预测油气田产量、累积产量和可采储量的简单模型。

Based on statistical development data of large oil and gas fields, a simple model for predicting production, cumulative production, and recoverable reserves is developed.

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此模型由一“破坏指标”表示，它是最大变形和累积能量耗损两个参数的非线性函数，其统计特性服从威布尔分布。

This model is represented in terms of a "damage index" which is a nonlinear function of maximum deformation and accumulated energy dissipation, and follows Weibull distribution.

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建立了基于模糊累积损伤的构件疲劳可靠性干涉模型，导出了模糊可靠度评定的一般公式和仿真方法。

Fatigue reliability interference model is established based on fuzzy cumulative damage of components, then general formula and simulation methods of fuzzy reliability estimation are derived.

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