本文将概率分析方法引用于水电站大坝的地震危险性研究，并与常规的确定性方法进行了比较。
In this paper probability analysis method is introduced in the study on earthquake risk for the dam of the project. Comparison with conventional deterministic method has been conducted.
阐述了基于泊松模型以及时间相依的特征地震模型的地震危险性概率分析的基本原理与方法。
The fundamental principle and methods of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis based on the Poisson's model and the characteristic earthquake model depending on time are discussed.
本次工作通过地震危险性分析得到50年10％超越概率时地震计算烈度为6.0度。
The research results indicate that the earthquake degree is 6, considering the exceeding probability to be 10 percent in the future 50 years.
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