定量风险分析是项目经理或项目工作人员通过一些数学方法和统计工具所进行的项目风险分析。常用的定量分析工具有:(1)决策树,用来根据期望值评估替代性行动过程;(2)净现值(NPV)统计,用来评价项目的现金流风险;(3)项目评审技术(PERT)和PERT仿真,检查活动和项目风险。PERT仿真更加常用是因为其所需的数据与PERT相同,但其可通过仿真的办法得到。
他还说,华尔街对“定量风险分析”的信心也已支离破碎了。
And, he said, Wall Street's faith in "quantitative risk analysis" has been battered.
最后以实例具体说明了该公式的运用,以及定量风险分析的重要性。
Finally, the application of this formula and the importance of the quantitative risk analysis are expounded in the concrete by way of example.
人们认为通过数学技巧可以精确控制风险,但那些风险模型在对流动性进行定量分析时一筹莫展,最后干脆一起蒸发殆尽了。
Mathematical brilliance was supposed to model risk with precision, but the models evaporated along with the liquidity that they had failed to quantify.
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