Chap4主要概念复习机率1机率(probability)是对事件(event) 发生的可能性 ( likelihood of occurrence )的一种数量化的评估(numerical measure)机率2..
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拉夫的团队继续计算它发生的可能性。
Raff's team went on to calculate the likelihood of it happening.
如果我们没有意识到文化差异的存在,或是对文化差异不敏感,那么误解和冲突发生的可能性是极大的。
If we are not aware of and sensitive to cultural differences, the possibilities for miscommunication and conflict are enormous.
艾瑞里说:“作为一个社会,我们需要明白,如果我们不惩罚说谎的话,我们就会增加它再次发生的可能性。”
"We as a society need to understand that when we don't punish lying,we increase the probability it will happen again," Ariely says.
The idea is that probability measures the likelihood of some outcome.
概率是用来描述,某一结果发生的可能性
When you look at a random walk you have the intuitive impression that you can extrapolate it -that it doesn't look like -you can't believe it's really random, but the reason you can't is because you overweigh the probability of certain things that caught your attention.
当人们观察随机漫步序列时会有直观印象,并可以以此类推,虽然这看起来并不像...,人们不会觉得这是完全随机的,之所以如此,是因为,人们过分高估了特定事物发生的可能性,这吸引了人们的注意
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