西雅图华盛顿大学健康指标和评估研究所的Christopher Murray主导这份研究。
Christopher Murray at the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle led the study.
健康指标和评估研究所认为科学期刊和官方机构应该对预测能力采用严格的核查方法，比如20%测试法和十年移除法。
The IHME believes that scientific journals and official agencies should adopt rigorous vetting methods of predictive power, such as the 20% tests and decadal-withholding exercises.
他回忆说2007年当之前的关于儿童死亡率的老报告发表的时候，健康指标和评估研究所团队就发布过类似的研究声明。
He recalls that the IHME team made similarly grand claims when its previous study on child mortality was unveiled in 2007.
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