上世纪70年代，他定期在新年来临之际为英国《金融时报》撰写的美国经济预测，虽然常常极不准确，却赢得了大量的读者。
His regular US economic forecasts for the Financial Times at the New Year during the 1970s were widely read if, often, wildly inaccurate.
但是如果零售商们的销售预测不准确，他们则会面临惹恼消费者的风险；这些消费者会因为他们的断货而无法获得所需的商品。
But if their sales forecasting is not on the button, companies risk annoying consumers who cannot get hold of their products because they are out of stock.
热带气旋过去200年来造成将近200万人死亡，因此我们预测的不准确度虽然逐步缩小，仍然是不能接受的。
Tropical cyclones have killed nearly two million people in the last 200 years, so this remaining 'cone of uncertainty' in our predictions is unacceptable.
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