Enterprise Logistics Risk; SCM; Risk Early Warning; Early Warning Indicators.

企业物流风险；供应链管理；风险预警；预警指标。

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Abstract: This paper analyzes the causes of the real estate bubble, describes the detection methods of it, and reviews the early warning indicators and models of it.

[摘要]分析了房地产泡沫形成的原因，描述了房地产泡沫的检测方法，全面回顾了房地产预警指标和模型。

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Although EVA is superior to income indicators theoretically, as for the set-up of the Early-warning model, it can not replace income indicators.

EVA虽然从理论上优越于会计收益指标，但是就预警模型的构建而言，它并不能取代会计收益指标。

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