Setting about the numbers with their econometric tool-box, Messrs Di Tella and MacCulloch not only do that but also control for everything they can think of, check for assorted biases and distortions, and consider different models of underlying economic behaviour.
Three Scotland players were drawn towards the throw-in taker and Antonio Di Natale had plenty of time to gather in the box and drive it low to the front post, where Toni finished from five yards.