But the new consensus rate of 2.6%, for a recovery now two years old, is barely above America's long-term potential and scarcely enough to bring unemployment down.

但如今经济恢复已经长达两年之久，公认的增长率为2.6%。这一增长率仅仅略高于美国的长期潜能，但若想降低失业率，还是力道不足。

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The consensus default rate estimates for 2012 and 2013, in fact, are inside the historical average of 3.4%.

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We expect more U.S. growth, profits, inflation and equity price gains than the consensus, and rate hikes rather than cuts.

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Similarly, with leadership from both parties, we could reach consensus on the top rate and scale other rates down from there.

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