Inuncertainsituations, individualsfavor less riskyprojects, other things being the same. in general, thecostsandbenefitsofuncertain projects must be converted to certaintyequivalents.
But ministers believe that many will prefer the certaintyof staying on benefits to the uncertainty of coming off it without knowing they're going to get a job at the end.
If that's right, then one of the big supposed benefitsof nominal GDP targeting - that consumers and businesses will have some certainty about the future path of their nominal incomes - largely evaporates.
Imagine the benefits to American businesses and families of knowing with a very high level ofcertainty that the buying power of the dollar five, 10 or 20 years from now would be approximately the same as it is today.