Theresults, forfamilies in one of the mostdeprivedboroughsin the country – where childrenhave an aboveaveragelikelihoodofmentalhealthproblems – are beingdescribedas "inspirational".
For example if they had predicted that their likelihood of being robbed was 30%, but the averagelikelihood was actually 20%, they might adjust their estimate to 22%.
If the information was worse than expected, then they tended to adjust their estimate much less (if the averagelikelihood was really 40%, and they estimated 10%, they might adjust to only 15%), which suggests that they were largely ignoring the new information.