无论是埋头于桌案,还是在享受沐浴,或是在参加头脑风暴会议,你都应快速粗略地对假设进行检验(Quick and Dirty Test,QDT)。QDT可简单地表述为: 为了验证你的假设,哪些假定需要为真?
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收集观察到的事物,对假设进行检验,最后,如果得到的结果是正面的,则这个理论被确认了下来。
Observations are collected to test these hypotheses and, finally, if the results are positive, the theory is confirmed.
进一步对每个假设的正确性进行检验:以它们会是也许不正确的方法来考虑、考虑后果。
But go further and test each assumption for validity: think in ways that they might not be valid and their consequences.
像科学家一样,他们观察复杂系统的行为,形成假设,并对其进行检验。
Like scientists, they observe the behavior of complex systems, form hypotheses, and test predictions.
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