他们制造了复杂的模板精确地与过去的事件吻合,但是也许对于预测未来并不是很管用——社会学家管这种现象叫做“事后聪明偏差”。
They tend to produce complicated models that accurately correspond to past events, but may not do so well in predicting the future -- social scientists call the phenomenon "hindsight bias."
现代社会人们最大的思维死角就是没有意识到因为人类对饮食的偏差或是生活方式的偏差而变得超重或过瘦
The greatest mental flaw for modern society is not realizing people are overweight and sick because of their deviation from eating and living in a more natural way (as our bodies were designed for).
但是价格经常与真实的成本和收益产生偏差,这个时候,税收反而可以引导社会资源投向回报更高的领域。
But prices often diverge from cost and value and, in those cases, taxes can actually help steer resources toward more highly valued USES.
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