目的探讨肾综合征出血热(HFRS)发病率预测方法。
Objective To discuss the predicating method of the morbidity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS).
所有的预测系统，从地震预测到癌症诊断，只要给定事件基础概率和预测准确率，都可以用这种方法分析相关的概率。
Any forecasting system, from quake prediction to cancer screening, can be analysed in the same way once the base-rate and accuracy figures are given.
研究者称用这项方法预测头发颜色的准确率达到90%，可以帮助司法调查工作者确定未知嫌疑人的体貌特征。
They say their method can predict hair color with up to 90 percent accuracy, helping forensic investigators identify an unknown person's characteristics.
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