上海证券采用多元主成分因子分析法,编制了上证A股的泡沫指数,该指数编制起始时间为2003年1月,包含反映宏观经济和市场运行因素的8个因子,采用月度数据和相关指标,运用SPSS软件处理并输出结果,数据具有客观、全面、连续的优点。
激增的沪深300指数之所以这么疯狂,因为每个人都知道这是泡沫,但无论如何,新的资金仍流入股市。
What's so amazing about the surge in the benchmark CSI 300 Index is that everyone knows it's a bubble and regardless, fresh money flows into shares.
虽然他认为灾难性的崩盘并不太可能很快发生,但他指出当时泡沫破裂后Mei Moses指数在之后五年暴跌60%。
Though he does not believe a crash is imminent, he notes that when that bubble burst the Mei Moses index dropped by over 60% in the five following years.
如果有一个图表可以描述2000年上半年房地产泡沫的疯狂的话,那就是罗伯特·席勒(Robert Shiller)的美国实际房价(例如,物价上涨因素)指数。
IF THERE is one chart that captures the madness of the housing bubble in the first half of the 2000s, it is Robert Shiller's index of real (ie, inflation-adjusted) house prices in America.
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