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水库汛限水位动态控制中的风险主要来自洪水预报和降雨预报的误差，其次来自决策者的决策误差。
The risk of flood operation mainly comes from the errors of flood and rainfall forecast, in the next place, the errors comes from the decision-maker's subjective preference.
在此基础上，联合降雨预报和洪水预报确定了桓仁水库动态控制汛限水位的上限。
Combined with precipitaton forecast and flood forecast, the upper bound ofdynamic control on limit water level of Huanren Reservoir in flood season was determined.
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