即使证据显得无可置疑,忽略基础概率也会导致误判。
Yet even where the evidence is presented impeccably, ignoring the base-rate effect can lead to miscarriages of justice.
在《星际使者》一文中,他写道:有了望远镜,“自古以来一直在折磨着哲学家们的争论至此终结,我们可以用自己的双眼寻找无可置疑的证据”。
With it, as he wrote in “Starry Messenger”, “all the disputes which have tormented philosophers through so many ages are exploded at once by the irrefragable evidence of our eyes.”
他掌握了无可置疑的证据,可以证实有一个历史事实是伪造的。
He had held in his hands unmistakable proof of the falsification of a historical fact.
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