英股在明年底有低位,而在2020年中再有相若水平的低位,之后才开始长近20年的长期牛市(secular bull)。 2020年是重要的一年,息率由长跌转长升,股市亦由长熊(secular bear)转长牛。
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在如1982至2000年的长期牛市之时,投资者会越来越乐观。
During a long bullish period — a secular bull market like the one between 1982 to 2000 — investors become increasingly optimistic.
发生在长期牛市早期的倒退,比如1987年股市崩盘,出人意料地迅速得到纠正,没过多久,市场就重现乐观情绪。
Setbacks like the 1987 crash, which occurred early in that long bullish period, are remedied with unexpected speed, and before long optimism returns to markets.
股市强势上升——甚至升个3到4年的周期性牛市——在长期大熊趋势中也是可能的。
Strong market rallies — even three - to four-year cyclical bull markets — can take place inside a longer bear market trend.
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