本文设置了五种利率波动情景和四种资产结构，通过实证来分析这二十种情况的期望盈余和损失概率。
Set five scenes of fluctuation of interest rate and four strategies of adjustment of assets' structure, and demonstrate their expecting surplus and losing probability.
实证检验结果显示，风险分担机制变迁显著增加了银行危机的概率。
The empirical test result shows that changes in risk-sharing mechanisms significantly increased the probability of banking crises.
在对我国股市中上证指数的转移概率密度进行实证分析中，显示了该方法对未来股价走势的判断是正确的。
The empirical analysis on Shanghai Stock-Market Index shows that the method is capable of correctly predicting stock price movements.
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