常见地震发生概率模型 probabilistic model for earthquake occurrence
地震烈度发生概率 earthquake intensity occurrence probability
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除了正在进行的余震序列外，最近几个月内的地震并没有增加将来大地震的发震概率，当然，也没有减小这个概率。
Beyond the ongoing aftershock sequences, earthquakes in recent months have not raised the likelihood of future major earthquakes; that likelihood has not decreased, either.
用累积概率表示发震的可能程度可作为马氏链预测发震时间的补充；
Using cumulative probability to estimate the possible stage of earthquake occurrence can fulfill the origin time of Markov chain.
总概率P_ 1可用来对该地区较大地震的发震时间作统计预报。
P1 may be used to predict the time of large earthquake occurrence in this region.
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