Critics claim that if forecasts of weather just days away are often wrong, how can scientists claim to know what climate will be like 50 years out?
那些评论家声称科学家们连近几天的天气都预报不准,怎么能夸下海口说知道50年后的天气情况呢。
One lesson – a rather familiar tutorial this – is that conventional wisdom is often wrong.
我们早就对此耳熟能详了——惯常的智慧往往是错误的。
Of course, gut feelings are often wrong (how many times during aircraft turbulence have you been sure your plane was going down?), but they do seem to be right much of the time.
当然,心底的感觉经常会错(有多少次,坐飞机颠簸的时候你觉得它肯定会掉下去呢?)
Of course, gut feelings are often wrong (how many times during aircraft turbulence have you been sure your plane was going down?), but they do seem to be right much of the time.
当然,心底的感觉经常会错(有多少次,坐飞机颠簸的时候你觉得它肯定会掉下去呢?)
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