This paper aims at discussing the value range of combination forecasting error square sum with matrix theory.
应用矩阵理论,对组合预测误差平方和的取值范围进行了研究。
The results indicate that the relative monitoring error is about 10%, and the relative risk forecasting error is about 20%.
从近年在河北省冬麦区土壤水分的监测预测结果来看,监测相对误差在10%左右,风险预测相对误差在20%左右。
Mr. Greenspan's confidence in the resilience of home prices -- shared by most in the industry at the time -- became a critical forecasting error.
格林斯潘对房价弹性的信心成了关键的预判错误,不过当时业内大多数人士都这么认为。
It could reduce the forecasting error, improve the forecasting accuracy as it has considered the weights of several methods. It is a spreadable forecasting method.
由于它考虑了几种方法所获结果的权重,因此可减小预测误差,提高预测的准确性,是一种值得推广的预测方法。
The ARMA model was used to describe the prior distribution of observed discharge and the ar model was adopted to simulate the likelihood function of forecasting error.
该模型采用ARMA模型描述实测流量的先验分布,采用AR模型模拟预报残差的似然函数,并假定先验分布和似然函数均服从正态分布。
From the grey model of the gross value of industrial output of Anshan over the years, We can forecast the gross value of industrial output of 1990, the forecasting error is 10. 99%.
通过建立鞍山市历年工业总产值全数据的灰色模型,较准确地预测出鞍山市1990年的工业总产值,其预测误差为10.99%。
It can reduce the forecasting error, improve the forecasting accuracy as it has considered the weights obtained by several methods. Therefore, this forecasting method is worth spreading.
由于它考虑了几种方法所获得结果的权重,因此可减小预测误差,提高预测的准确性,是一种值得推广的预测方法。
The forecasting results of a city in east China showed that, the MSE forecasting error of 96 points daily load is only about 1.78%. The method can satisfy the request of real power system well.
通过对华东某地市电网日负荷96点曲线的预测结果显示,该方法效果较好,日预测均方根误差在1.78%以内,能较好地满足实际电力系统的负荷预测要求。
The variation geometric constraint net is applied into fixture error forecasting.
将变动几何约束网络应用于夹具误差预测。
The features of coke oven flue temperature are analyzed, and a highly accurate soft-sensing model based on error forecasting is established to measure the coke oven flue temperature on-line.
针对焦炉火道温度在线检测的问题,在分析焦炉火道温度特性的基础上,建立了一种基于误差预测的高精度焦炉火道温度软测量模型。
This paper established the yield and conflux forecasting scheme of reservoir flood based on analyzing error generation characteristics of Zhanghe reservoir flood.
在分析漳河水库入库洪水误差特点的基础上,建立了入库洪水产汇流预报方案。
A new gray theory self-correcting model is applied to the error correct of Short-term Load Forecasting Technique.
本文把一种新的灰色理论自修正模型应用到负荷预测的误差校正中。
A new method of realtime correction with error distribution in time series is given to increase the correctness of flood forecasting.
本文提出一种新的误差时序分配实时校正法,可提高洪水预报方案的精度。
A new forecasting model the Equal Dimension Grey Data Dynamic forecasting model Corrected by Remnant Error was proposed based on the Grey System Theory.
根据灰色系统理论,提出一种残差修正的等维灰数据动态预测模型。
At last the result shows that the relative error is rather small and the forecasting precision is satisfied.
结果表明,相对误差较小,预测精度达到了要求。
With a global spectral model (T63L9), a error correction method for medium range weather forecasting has been studied using initial fields of four time periods in 1994.
本文利用一个全球谱模式(T63L9)和1994年4个时段个例的全球客观分析资料探讨了中期数值天气预报的误差订正方法。
On-line modeling, forecasting and compensating way for machining error in boring are introduced.
文章介绍了镗削加工误差的在线建模和预报补偿控制方法。
In addition, the residual error model is built based on the forecasting results in 2000 and 2001 at Haikou, China for different requirements of various users.
此外,由于不同用户对预报精度的需求不同,本文以海口站2000、2001年的预报结果为例构建了残差模型。
The number of product trouble satisfies the properties like that. We improve traditional GM(1,1) model by supplying residual error and applying the improved model for forecasting of product trouble.
采用补充残差和加权平均的方法改进了传统的GM(1,1)模型,并将改进后的模型应用于产品故障数的预测。
When the objective matters are studied by models, the forecasting results obtained by perfect fitting will not necessarily be very good. In this paper, the causes of error produced are analyzed.
借助于模型研究客观事物时,好的拟合得到的预测不一定很好,本文分析了产生误差的原因。
An unequal time interval forecasting model of GM (1, 1) is established according to the grey theory in the present paper, which can be modified using the residual error GM (1, 1) model.
运用灰色理论建立了软基沉降的不等时距预测GM(1, 1)模型,并可用残差的GM(1, 1)模型对其进行修正。
New dominant forecasting method and redundant measure are defined for combination forecasting method with generalized weight arithmetic average, based on error of power of p.
从P次幂误差的概念出发,提出了广义加权算术平均组合预测法新的预测方法优超和冗余度的定义。
Then we investigate the effectiveness of the solution. Finally, we reveal that the method is reasonable and effective which can effectively reduce the error of interval forecasting by a concrete case.
最后,通过一个实例表明本文所提方法能够有效降低区间预测的误差,是一种合理和有效的区间组合预测方法。
A new load forecasting method based on intrinsic error evaluation is proposed.
提出了一种基于内蕴误差评价的电力系统短期负荷预报方法。
This paper analyzes the calculation method of the rainfall forecasting, error ereates the evaluation standard function and builds up the evaluation model of the rainfall forecasting method.
以均值生成函数和双评分准则为基础,建立了正交筛选预测模型,模拟预测气温和降水序列的自然变化规律。
View of the current selection of forecasting models in order to minimize the fitting error, a method of selecting forecast model was put forward based on minimum error of forecast.
针对目前以拟合精度作为模型选择标准的方法,提出了以预测值的置信区间最小为标准选择预测模型的方法。
Practical results show that the proposed method lowers both average error and maximum error and improves forecasting precision.
对预测结果的分析表明,多点外推法不仅减少了平均误差,也使最大误差降低,能有效提高预测精度。
The error between field test and forecast is satisfied. So this model can provide a practical and convenient way for forecasting irrigation quantity and date.
为今后膜下滴灌一膜一管模式灌水量与灌水时间提供了较为简便实用的模型。
In this way, the forecasting accuracy of concrete strength inferences with smaller margins of error to many sample data has been...
强度预测时,根据实际数据自适应选择拟和模型,这样在大样本量混凝土强度预测中得到了较好的精度。
In this way, the forecasting accuracy of concrete strength inferences with smaller margins of error to many sample data has been...
强度预测时,根据实际数据自适应选择拟和模型,这样在大样本量混凝土强度预测中得到了较好的精度。
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