We also have some psychological blindness to black swans.
我们对“黑天鹅”还有着“心理学”上的盲目性。
In fact, I tried in The black swan to turn a lot of black swans white!
事实上我在《黑天鹅》中曾试过将很多“黑天鹅”变成白色的!
So, you end up going through life assuming that there are no black swans.
于是你从生活中得出结论,黑色的天鹅是不存在的
But they discovered Australia, saw black swans, and revised their beliefs.
直到他们发现了澳洲,见到真有黑天鹅,他们才修正了自己的想法。
You've never seen a black swan. So, you end up going through life assuming that there are no black swans.
你从未看见过一种黑色的天鹅,所以你通过生活经验假设没有黑天鹅存在。
Black swans dance on a surface decorated with purple daisies. On wings of romantic poetry, love can fly.
紫色雏菊的纯真点缀着黑天鹅的轻灵,爱,凭借如诗的双翼飞扬…
Talib, who's a Wall Street professional, talks about these black swans as being the real story of finance.
华尔街的专家塔利博,用金融界的真实案例讨论黑天鹅现象。
It can draw attention to "black swans," which are major risks that conventional forecasting tends to ignore.1.
情景分析可以描述出其中的不确定性能够注意到在常规的预测报告中常常被忽视的主要风险“黑天鹅”。
SEOUL the most important lesson to have come out of the financial crisis is to worry about "black swans."
首尔的走出了金融危机最沉重的教训是就是担心“黑天鹅”效应。
We don't understand them, because, genetically, we did not evolve in an environment where there were a lot of black swans.
我们不理解“黑天鹅”们,因为从遗传学上来说,人类并不是在一个有很多“黑天鹅”的环境中进化的。
And I showed that the computer, the Internet, and the laser-three recent technological black swans-came out of nowhere.
我也说过电脑、因特网和激光,这三样现代科技的“黑天鹅”,本来一无所闻。
It turns out that in financial markets "black swans", or extreme events, occur much more often than the usual probability models suggest.
目前看来,金融市场的“黑天鹅”或者说一些极端事件所发生的频率,比通常的概率模型所预测的要大得多。
"Financial markets are not only vulnerable to black swans but have become the perfect breeding ground for them, " says Mr Guldimann.
“金融市场不仅容易受到黑天鹅事件的影响,更成为了黑天鹅时间产生的温床,”古迪曼说道。
This book does not touch on what Nassim Nicholas Taleb calls "Black Swans" : rare events that are unpredictable with or without crunching Numbers.
这本书没有触及泰力布所说的“黑天鹅”:拥有或没有数字的情况下预测不到的罕见的事例。
It feeds on itself quite frequently, leading to accentuated periods of "greed" and "fear" that tend to be labeled "bubbles" or "black swans," respectively.
人性经常会自我强化,导致周期性的贪婪与恐惧,最终分别成为泡沫或者黑天鹅。
In one of the defining phrases of 2007, the author and investor Nassim Taleb has called these occurrences "black swans" -unexpected events that have enormous consequences.
在2007年阐明的一个名词中,该词首倡者、投资人NassimTaleb把这些事件称为“黑色的天鹅”——会带来极大影响的未预期到的事件。
Objective to extinguish the epidemic of avian influenza infection of black swans in wild animal zoo of Shenzhen City and to clear up pollution of water body of the swan lake.
目的扑灭深圳市野生动物园黑天鹅感染禽流感疫情,消除天鹅湖水体污染。
He called it the Black swan because if you look at swans, they're always white.
他把这种现象命名为“黑天鹅”是因为当你看到的天鹅,它一直都是白色的。
Towel swans from a hotel in Egypt, using striped towels. The thick, black and white stripes help tip the scales closer to chic than cheesy.
埃及酒店使用条纹毛巾折叠成的毛巾天鹅,这些厚厚的黑白条纹毛巾有助于提升酒店房间的别致氛围,不至于显得太过俗气。
In the lake water were a lot of grey-feathered seagulls and green-headed mandarin ducks4 , and two red-beaked, black-eyed, white swans.
湖中有许多灰羽海鸥和绿头鸳鸯,还有两只红嘴黑眼的白天鹅;
In the lake water were a lot of grey-feathered seagulls and green-headed mandarin ducks4 , and two red-beaked, black-eyed, white swans.
湖中有许多灰羽海鸥和绿头鸳鸯,还有两只红嘴黑眼的白天鹅;
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