然而，每一个过程都有局限性，会导致我们持有错误的信念或作出错误的预测。
Yet, each of these processes has limitations and can lead us to hold mistaken beliefs or make false predictions.
于是我们往往这样错误的预测：好的东西就能使我们幸福并长久的幸福下去，而不好的东西会毁了我们。
And so we mistakenly predict that good things will make us happy... Really happy for a really long time... Bad things, why they'll just slay us.
科斯格累夫的预测被发现是完全错误的。
尽管一些经济学家预测未来经济会继续复苏，贝利却说，唯一可以肯定的是银行不太可能再次犯同样的错误。
While some economists predict continued recovery in the future, Baily says the only certainty is that banks are unlikely to make the same mistakes—twice.
尽管一些经济学家预测未来经济会继续复苏，贝利却说，唯一可以肯定的是银行不太可能再次犯同样的错误。
While some economists predict continued recovery in the future, Baily says the only certainty is that banks are unlikely to make the same mistakes twice.
认为房屋市场很快就有好转的预测结果证明是错误的。
Predictions of an early improvement in the housing market proved false.
他有一个预测是错误的：每个人都会每天步行10英里。
He was wrong in one prediction: that everybody would walk 10 miles a day.
在这些预测错误信号中，青少年最多，这可能意味着他们有最大的多巴胺反应。
Teenagers showed the highest spikes in these prediction error signals, which likely means they had the largest dopamine response.
然而，他从不做出专业的预测，因为“大致正确总比完全错误”要好。
But he never makes professional predictions because it is better to be "broadly right rather than precisely wrong".
预测的误差可能来自错误的数据、错误的假设或错误的模型。
Errors in forecasting can result from bad data, wrong assumptions or a faulty model.
如果给程序提供错误的“原料”——类型或形式不匹配——则很可能得到无法预测的结果，甚至导致灾难。
If a program is fed the wrong material - divergent in type or form - the result is likely to be unpredictable, even catastrophic.
这意味着能帮助预测或可能防止一些人们放的错误。
That means it could be used to help predict, and so possibly prevent, some human errors.
电台传教士HaroldCamping（人名）曾犯下一个幼稚的错误。他预测出天启有可能在五月21日开始。
HAROLD CAMPING, the radio preacher who inaccurately forecast that the Apocalypse would begin on May 21st, made a rookie's mistake.
显示这个预测错误的第一个迹象是，2008年表现得比预测中更为平静。
The first sign that the prediction was wrong came when 2008 turned out to be even calmer than expected.
不但没能预期到早前的股价崩溃，相反她因错误地预测股价上涨而出名。
She failed to see previous share price crashes and was famous for her upwards forecasts.
第一，使用真实数据更容易定位错误，因为真实数据比开发期间使用的测试数据更难预测。
The first is that you are more likely to spot errors if you are using real-world data, because it is more unpredictable than the test data used during development.
当然，这些预测数字可能会是错误的，但预测数字既可能过高，也可能过低。
Those forecasts could, of course, be wrong, but they could be too high as well as too low.
但目前选民们举动异常，情绪无法预测，欧德内尔女士也许会证明他们是错误的。
But with the electorate in its present bizarre, unpredictable mood, Ms o 'donnell may yet prove them wrong.
所有这些中没有一点能够证明，曾对市场做出过精确预测的舍林这次的观点从长期看会是错误的。
None of this proves that Mr Shilling, who has made some shrewd market calls in the past, will be proved wrong in the long run.
当参与者发现他们的回答结果和他们的奖励大小时，研究者们测试了他们大脑中所谓的积极的预测错误信号。
Researchers measured so-called positive prediction error signals in the participants' brains as the participants discovered the results of their answers and the size of their rewards.
先前的研究已经表明大脑中的多巴胺系统直接对预测错误做出反应。
Previous research has shown that the dopamine system in the brain is directly responsive to prediction errors.
即使他只是一大帮子的市场预测者中的一个——他也有些著名的错误——还是会数以千计的投资者观看他的节目，所以他确有影响力。
Even though he’s just one more in a long line of market soothsayers — and has had some notable busts — thousands of investors watch his show, so he does have an impact.
通过在恰当的时候获得专家建议，你就可以在创业初期避免代价昂贵的错误，比如过于乐观的销售预测，盲目的市场战略等。
Getting expert advice at the right time can avoid costly mistakes at startup, from sales forecasts that are too optimistic to ill-advised marketing strategies.
在最近的金融危机中，最大的问题在于投资者错误地认为房产价格可以准确预测而在美国房市上建造了一个巨大的衍生品体系。
In the latest crisis, the problem was that investors erroneously believed property prices were quite predictable and built a whole edifice of derivatives on the back of the American housing market.
对于2008年，梧桐树下可以确定的一个预测是多数人的看法将会被证明是错误的。
The one forecast Buttonwood can safely make for 2008 is that the consensus will prove to be wrong.
然后，青少年大脑中的更大的预测错误信号可能引起增强的动力区获得更积极的结果，因此引起冒险行为。
It follows, then, that the greater prediction error signals in the adolescent brain could result in increased motivation to acquire more positive outcomes, and therefore greater risk-taking.
因此，仅仅通过检查源代码是很难预测和理解这些错误发生的可能性和发生的情景的。
It is extremely hard to predict and comprehend these possibilities and scenarios just by inspecting source code.
因此，仅仅通过检查源代码是很难预测和理解这些错误发生的可能性和发生的情景的。
It is extremely hard to predict and comprehend these possibilities and scenarios just by inspecting source code.
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