何以人们的行为与经济模型预测的不同，经济心理学的创始人告诉你其中的奥秘。
Why people don't behave the way economic models predict lies at the heart of this brilliant intellectual history by the founder of this once-obscure blend of psychology and economics.
上世纪90年代，许多经济学家开始将混沌理论视为一种提供预测模型的方法。
In the 1990s, many economists began to look at chaos theory as a way of providing models for forecasting.
说到底，我们所有的预测都采用一种特定的经济模型，来解读数据和预测其未来走向。
Ultimately, all our forecasts use a particular economic model to interpret data and to forecast their future course.
一系列令人警觉的经济变量目前已经超出传统经济模型所能预测的范围。
An alarming number of economic variables are currently way out of line with what conventional economic models would predict.
他们认为，剩下模型没法预测因素的价格上升部分，是没有实质经济因素支撑的，而且十分容易回落。
They argued that what is left-the part of price rises that is unexplained-is without substance and vulnerable to a correction.
但一种像全球气候模拟系统那样，能够预测未来经济运行的各种可能性的模型可能会更加实际、有用。
But it might be more realistic and useful to employ a suite of such models, in the manner of global climate simulations, which project various possible futures.
Varian和Choi表示，共同利用这些搜索趋势和经济计量模型就能够提高预测的准确性。
Mr Varian and Mr Choi show that the addition of these search trends to econometric models improves the accuracy of their estimates.
方法：阐述马尔科夫模型的原理，通过实例说明其在药品经济预测中的应用。
METHOD: the principle of Markov model was expounded and its application in the forecasting of drug market was illustrated with examples.
在实施模型预测控制技术的过程中，一个良好的控制系统不但要保证系统的稳定性和生产的安全性，还要带来一定的经济效益。
A good control system should not only ensure stability of system and safety of production, but also can bring economic benefit when a model predictive control technique is taken into effect.
对于发生变化的动态经济过程，应用定常参数模型进行预测时误差较大。
In forecasting dynamic economic processes by using the model with steady parameters, large errors are often discovered.
其中LCBP模型在考虑了经济收入水平、人口、年龄结构层次及流动人口流量等环境因子的条件下对趋势分量进行预测。
LCBP model predicts the weight of trend on terms that have considered such environmental factors as the economic income level, population, age composition level and flow of floating population, etc.
通过对设备费用样本的分析，采用了中间线性回归方法和考虑了货币的时间价值，建立了符合缺省数据费用样本的设备经济寿命预测模型。
Based on the analyzing of costs sample of equipment, set up prediction model of economic life of equipment, considering the middle-linear regression method and period value of costs.
实际应用结果表明：煤层气开发项目经济评价方法和预测模型是项目决策科学化的重要依据。
The results show that the economic evaluation method and prediction models for coalbed methane development project are quite useful in project decision-making.
结果：马尔科夫模型是一种具有很多优点的预测方法，能够对符合假设条件下的各种经济动态进行准确预测。
RESULT:Markov model was a forecasting method of many merits, which can be used to forecast those economy dynamic states that were in line with the condition of hypothesis.
研究了有关布朗单一参数指数平滑经济预测模型的系数的估计问题，整理并给出了比较完整的证明。
This paper analysized the estimation problem on coefficient of Brown single parameter index smooth economic prediction model followed by giving a complete attestation.
由发动机性能的设计技术参数，运用模糊线性回归理论建立了发动机经济性指标的模糊预测模型，并对其经济性指标进行预测和分析。
Based on the technical parameters for the performance of engines, the economical index of engines is predicted and analyzed by the theory of fuzzy linear regression.
如应用该计划模型对企业生产经营进行计划调控，计划预测，将提高企业经济效益。
If the plan model is applied to plan regulation and prediction for enterprise management, the economic efficiency could be improved.
联合信贷银行的经济学家也大干了一番，把宏观经济数据输入复杂的数学模型，以期预测夺冠球队。
Economists at UniCredit really went to town, feeding in macroeconomic data to complex mathematical models in a bid to predict the winner.
以某化工厂的污染事故的经济损失作为实例，利用灰色马尔柯夫链模型对其经济损失的预测作了尝试性的探讨。
Taking a chemical factory for example, the authors make a tentative study on the prediction of its economic loss of pollution accidents according to the Grey-Markov chains model.
采用多元正交多项式回归方法建立了冬小麦生产经济收益预测的多元正交多项式回归模型。
We have build the multivariate orthogonal polynomial regression forecasting model of the economical effect on winter wheat production.
长期记忆性的存在使得有可能通过建立非线性经济计量模型以改进价格预测效果。
The discovery of long memory suggests possibilities of constructing nonlinear econometric models to improve price forecasting performance.
时间序列ar (P)自回归模型多应用于经济预测领域，工程技术界多数人对此不太热悉。
The time series ar (p) self-regression model is widely applied to prediction in economic field. Most of researchers and technicians in engineering are not familiar with it.
模型由影响因素分析模块、经济周期分析模块和综合预测模块组成。
The model consists of the factors analysis module, economic cycle analysis module and integrated forecasting module.
利用时间序列模型不仅能够分析经济序列的趋势，同时还可以进行预测。
Economic trend may be analyzed and forecasted, using by time series models.
该模型的预测结果与灰分析的结果基本相近，可以作为锅炉燃烧的在线经济性评价标准。
The result gained by the model is closed to ash analysis. It can serve as an online economic value criterion of boiler combustion.
由此说明，无因次IPR曲线模型是一种经济实用的预测水平气井产能的方法。
The dimensionless IPR curve model appears to pro- vide a cost-effective way of predicting horizontal gas well deliverability.
该模型根据示范点各大楼的冷、电负荷预测延时变化曲线，按照经济最优原则制定微型燃气轮机的发电计划。
The results show that the generation curves of micro turbine made by this optimal model can satisfy the operation economy and primary energy ratio index requirements of this project.
该模型根据示范点各大楼的冷、电负荷预测延时变化曲线，按照经济最优原则制定微型燃气轮机的发电计划。
The results show that the generation curves of micro turbine made by this optimal model can satisfy the operation economy and primary energy ratio index requirements of this project.
应用推荐