根据油田原油产量为随机线性变化趋势,采用二次指数平滑方法进行预测。
According to the random linearity change trend of crude production rate, using the secondary exponential smoothing predicts the crude production rate.
首先,本文给出了三种指数平滑方法的定义,并分析了每种方法的特点,预测方法的选取主要取决于三种方法的差异性。
Firstly, the definition of exponential smoothing is presented. Then three models' characteristics are analyzed. How we choose these three models is based on these differences mainly.
由历史数据推测未来趋势的众多方法中较突出的有:时间序列法、最小平方法、指数平滑法、回归分析和相关分析。
Prominent among the various techniques that can help to extrapolate past date into future trends are the following:time series, least squares method, exponential smoothing, regression and correlation.
回归分析法、灰色系统模型法和指数平滑法是目前常用的水上交通事故预测方法。
Regression analysis, grey-system and exponential smoothing method are in common use as forecasting methods of maritime accidents nowadays.
基于模糊理论和指数平滑预测相结合的方法,给出了以预测单方造价为基础的投标工程单方造价快报算法。其算法具有普遍的应用价值。
The paper proposes a fast algorithm for cost of building per square meter based on fuzzy theory and smooth exponential prediction, this algorithm is universal significance of application.
预测过程采用了相关回归、指数平滑等数学方法科学决策。
The forecasting course has used mathematical approach to make science decisions such as correlation recurrence and exponential smoothing etc.
本文基于指数平滑的基本原理讨论了电力系统日负荷预测方法。
This paper is concerned with the fundamentals of the smooth index and their application in the day-load prediction for electrical power systems.
详细介绍了指数平滑法及三次指数平滑法的预测过程,应用此方法对实测资料进行了预计和比较。
In this paper, the exponential smoothing method and the prediction process of the cubic exponential smoothing method are introduced in detail.
通过分析行程时间时间序列的时变特性,利用指数平滑模型进行预测,最后提出合理的修正方法。
Then, we make prediction with moving exponential average model after the analysis of the travel time series. Finally, we present reasonable justification.
并且对基于神经网络的组合预测方法进行了研究,提出了一个神经网络和指数平滑模型组合运用的预测算法。
After study of the combined forecasting methods based on the ANN theory, it is put foreword that Exponential-Smooth (ES) and ANN combine a new prediction algorithm.
因此,应用模糊数学和平滑指数预测方法,推出了一种火电厂烟气脱硫工程造价的快速估算方法。
Therefore, a predictive method using fuzzy mathematic and smooth indexes has developed a new quick estimation method for FGD engineering cost of thermal power plants.
指数平滑法是一种非统计性的预报方法,它具有计算过程简单、适应性好等优点。
Expotential smoothing method is a kind of non-statistical method. The advantage of this method lies in its simple calculating process and its wide applicability to many prediction problems.
通过噪声带宽分别衡量不同指数平滑预测模型引起供应链库存波动的程度,并且通过匹配滤波的方法可以减少不同预测模型引起供应链的波动性。
The extent of inventory fluctuating induced by different smoothing forecasting model can be measured by noise bandwidth, and the inventory fluctuating can be reduced by matched filtering.
本文通过实地调查获取的交通流量数据,分别采用移动平均法、指数平滑法、AR模型法三种交通流预测方法进行短时交通流量预测。
Through the data obtained by fieldwork, the paper forecasts the short-term traffic by three methods: moving-average method, index-smoothing method, AR model method.
本文通过实地调查获取的交通流量数据,分别采用移动平均法、指数平滑法、AR模型法三种交通流预测方法进行短时交通流量预测。
Through the data obtained by fieldwork, the paper forecasts the short-term traffic by three methods: moving-average method, index-smoothing method, AR model method.
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