Nassim Nicholas Taleb: I have no idea.
塔勒布：我不知道。
The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2007.
《黑天鹅》，纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布(The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb)，2007年。
Models "increased risk exposure instead of limiting it", says Mr Taleb.
模型“并未降低反而提高了危机爆发的几率”，泰勒伯先生说。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: If risk doesn't cost you a lot, take all the risk you can.
塔勒布：如果风险不会花你多少钱，就承担你能承担的风险。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has been all over the comments pages of the news since last September.
去年九月以来，纳西姆•尼古拉斯·塔勒布一直是新闻评论的焦点人物。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: I don’t like scenario planning, because people don’t think out of the box.
塔勒布：我不喜欢情况规划，因为人们没办法跳出去思考。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: I don't like scenario planning, because people don't think out of the box.
塔勒布：我不喜欢情况规划，因为人们没办法跳出去思考。
The secretary-general of the World Tourism Organisation, Taleb Rifai, also weighed into the issue last week.
世界旅游组织秘书长塔勒布瑞福爱上周也考虑过这个问题。
Take the following event (borrowed from Nassim Taleb). A car drives over a bridge, and the bridge collapses.
下面借用纳西姆·塔勒布[1]的一个例子：一辆车驶过一座桥，结果桥塌了。
Nassim Taleb and a few other finance scholars stressed the risk of fat-tail extreme events in financial markets.
纳西姆·塔雷柏及其他几位金融学者强调了金融市场中肥尾(fat - tail)极端事件的风险。
Deftly weaving meditation with hard-edged analysis, Mr Taleb succeeds in bringing sceptical empiricism to the masses.
于深沉思考中熟练地穿插敏锐的分析，塔布勒成功地将经验主义怀疑论带给大众。
According to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, an author and investor, HFT "magnifies changes and ultimately makes the system weaker".
按作家兼投资者NassimNicholasTaleb的说法，高频交易“放大了变化并最终使系统更加脆弱”。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a very popular financial author thanks to his books "Fooled by Randomness" and "The Black Swan".
纳西姆•尼古拉斯·塔勒布凭借其两部著作《随机致富的傻瓜》及《黑天鹅》已是声名在外的财经作家。
The scholar, trader, and author Nassim Nicholas Taleb brings a decidedly contrarian view to the world of finance, statistics, and risk.
学者、交易员、作家纳西姆-尼古拉-塔勒布，对金融、统计和风险等领域，有着与大众相悖的明晰洞察。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Before Europeans discovered Australia, we had no reason to believe that swans could be any other color but white.
塔勒布：在欧洲人发现澳洲之前，我们没有理由相信天鹅除了白颜色还有其他什么颜色。
Taleb says on his website that he's not giving interviews ahead of the upcoming release of the updated, paperback version of 'The Black Swan.
塔利布在其网站上说，在《黑天鹅：百年一遇的冲击》一书的平装更新版即将发行前，他不接受任何采访。
This book does not touch on what Nassim Nicholas Taleb calls "Black Swans" : rare events that are unpredictable with or without crunching Numbers.
这本书没有触及泰力布所说的“黑天鹅”：拥有或没有数字的情况下预测不到的罕见的事例。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has been deeply influenced by this stream of research. Taleb not only has an explanation for what’s happening, he saw it coming.
NassimNicholasTaleb深受这股研究潮流的影响，Taleb不仅解释了眼前正在发生什么，而且也说明了将要发生什么。
Mr Buffett's approach of insuring events he thinks are unlikely to occur is the kind of trading strategy criticised by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who wrote the Black Swan.
巴菲特为他认为发生概率不大的事件提供保险，这种做法正是《黑天鹅》一书作者纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb)所批评的交易策略。
Markets might be undermined by what Nassim Taleb, an author, has described as a “black swan”—an event with a small probability of happening, but a big impact if it does.
市场有可能被作家塔雷伯所描述的“黑天鹅”（发生几率很小，但可造成重大影响的事件）所击垮。
In one of the defining phrases of 2007, the author and investor Nassim Taleb has called these occurrences "black swans" -unexpected events that have enormous consequences.
在2007年阐明的一个名词中，该词首倡者、投资人NassimTaleb把这些事件称为“黑色的天鹅”——会带来极大影响的未预期到的事件。
Mr Taleb cut his philosophical teeth in the basement of his family home in Lebanon during the long civil war there (another Black Swan), devouring books as mortars flew overhead.
在漫长的内战（又一只“黑天鹅”）时期，塔布勒在黎巴嫩家中的地下室里长出智齿。迫击炮弹在头顶乱飞，他兀自大啃书本。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: the field of statistics is based on something called the law of large Numbers: as you increase your sample size, no single observation is going to hurt you.
塔勒布：统计学学科的基础建立在所谓大量数字的规则性上：只要你增大样本容量，没有任何单个的观测结果能损害到你的理论。
Mr Taleb defines a Black Swan as an event that is unexpected, has an extreme impact and is made to seem predictable by explanations concocted afterwards. It can be both positive and negative.
塔布勒将“黑天鹅”定义为影响巨大的意外事件，却在事后制定解释时被认为是可预测的，比如911事件和互联网的兴起。
Taleb, who is an adviser to the firm and an investor, gained fame for 'The Black Swan, ' a book that suggested unlikely events in the financial markets are far more likely than most investors believe.
这本书提出，金融市场中的不可能事件比大部分投资者认为的可能性要大的多。
Taleb, who is an adviser to the firm and an investor, gained fame for 'The Black Swan, ' a book that suggested unlikely events in the financial markets are far more likely than most investors believe.
这本书提出，金融市场中的不可能事件比大部分投资者认为的可能性要大的多。
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