Because I thought the payoffs - the two different payoffs that I could have gotten-- were highest if I chose Alpha.
因为我发现,如果我选α的话,我得到的两种结果是最优的
It turns out though that people will systematically and dramatically view themselves view themselves as better than average.
但是结果发现,人们都会过高地高估了自己,认为自己比一般人做得好。
One of the initial things that Keyes found is that there was as much as a ten-fold difference in rates of coronary disease.
凯斯首先发现的其中一项结果是,七个国家的冠心病发病率
And we can just extrapolate in a straight line We before saw some examples where I had an algorithm to generate points, and we fit a curve to it, used the curve to predict future points and discovered it was nowhere close.
我们可以干脆用一条直线来描述它,我们之前看到在一些例子中,我用一个算法去生成一些点,然后用一条曲线对它进行拟合,然后用这条曲线来预测未来的点,最后却发现结果完全不对。
When we do relativity, we'll be dealing with vectors in space-time and we'll find that different observers disagree on what is this and what is that.
我们学习相对论的时侯,会涉及到时空矢量的问题,我们会发现观测者们对于观测的结果,有着不同的看法
He stayed up all night and counted every leaf on the tree and it came very close to what Rituparna said, so he--the next morning-- believed Rituparna.
他彻夜未眠,数了树上的每一片叶子,发现结果和睿都巴若那所言相差无几,所以他在...第二天早晨...,相信了睿都巴若那
At least they found statistically significant results when they came to that.
至少发现了几点显著的结果,当发现这几个差异时。
Well, realize one of the themes in this course and really one of the themes in programming and solving any problem with a machine is going to be really to just take small bites one at a time out of these problems until the end result ultimately is that you've actually bitten off a fairly large fairly interesting problem and in the aggregate, you've actually implemented something pretty sophisticated.
好吧,让我们先想一下这件事带给我们的主题,编程和解决问题的思想,一台机器最开始只会一步一个脚印,沿着要解决的问题向前迈进,直到最终的结果出来,最后你会发现,你已经解决了一个相当大,相当有趣的问题,而这个问题在最初看起来确是相当复杂的。
And it turns out that if you actually ask dying people, or really old people basically, "What do you regret from your life?"
结果发现,如果你问临终的人,或者很老的人,“你生命中有什么让你很后悔的?”
And the finding is that people based on thin slices are quite good at detecting sexual orientation.
结果发现,人们只需看一眼这个录像,就能很准确地判定你的性取向。
And it turns out that this version people are slower at than the other version suggesting that their associations run one way and not the other.
结果发现在第二个实验中,人们比第一个实验时的反应要慢,这表明他们倾向于把白人和好词,把黑人和坏词联系一起,而不是反过来。
It turns out that the group that had--were paid a dollar rated the task as much more fun than the group given twenty dollars.
结果发现,拿一美元的那组对这个任务的评价,要比拿20美元的那组高得多。
It turns out, to a tremendous degree, and you could imagine yourself in that situation, they choose this one, the one that wasn't the one they turned down.
结果发现,非常大的程度上,你们也可以想象实验对象是你自己,他们选了这一粒,不是他们第一次没选的那粒。
Usually people find it a little bit surprising.
人们通常会发现,结果令人惊讶
And it turned out they got it wrong by a factor of about two.
结果发现他们把注意的人数,高估了一倍。
Erik Others got a bio saying--thanks, Erik-- the speaker was rather cold and then it turned out later on when they're asked for their impressions of the speaker people are very much biased by what they first assumed.
其他人拿到的简介…谢谢,把演讲者描述成很冷淡,结果后来发现,当问及这些人对演讲者有什么印象时,人们都受到第一印象的偏向。
Once those studies were done, some very interesting differences started to show up along gender lines, and then other investigators started to look at race differences, and then you find things like this that are very interesting.
从研究结果中可以发现,一些很有趣的性别之间差异,另外一些研究者则开始研究种族差异,然后我们就得到了,像这幅图所展示的有趣的结果
Compound that 13.4% over ten years and there's just an enormous gap between those mutual fund numbers that are in the prospectus and in the advertisement--the time-weighted returns and the dollar-weighted returns that talk about the actual experience of the investment community.
按13.4%复利算一下10年期的结果,你会发现在招股说明书和广告里给出的,用来反映投资机构实际业绩水平的,时间加权回报率,和货币加权回报率数字之间,有着巨大的差异
All right. I tried it on 2, I surely didn't expect a precise and exact answer to that but I got something, and if you square this, you'll find the answer kept pretty darn close to 2.
好,我试试求2的平方根,我当然不希望得到一个完全准确的答案了,但是我得到了一个近似值,试试将这个数平方一下,你会发现结果和2相当接近。
It turns out when you do that women get hired far more suggesting that the stereotype is A, incorrect and B, has a real negative and unfair effect on people getting hired.
结果发现这样做的话,女人的录取率大大提高,这表明了,第一,刻板印象是不正确的,第二,消极和不公平地影响了,她们的录取率。
I mean, if you do the--If you look at the results for the study, it turns out that there is an association as bias to view white Americans as positive and African Americans as negative but it shows up in half a second difference.
如果你看这些研究的结果,你会发现人们有一种偏见,把白人和积极的意义联系在一起,把黑人与消极的意义联系在一起,你只有看这半秒的差别,才能发现这种偏见。
It turns out that people-- And then he had them go about their day and asked them, "How many people noticed your T-shirt?"
结果发现人们…,他让这些人过完这一天,然后问他们,”有多少人注意到你的T恤了?“
It turns out that if you look at the 2.5--sorry, the quarter million people on the movie database and compute their Bacon number, 2.8 the average Bacon number is 2.8.
结果发现,这2。5…对不起,如果你算一下电影数据库里这25万人,他们的平均Bacon数为。
Conversely, if you get an answer and it doesn't seem to make sense, then you've got to go back and ask, am I violating some of the assumptions, and here you will find the assumption that the particle had that acceleration a is true as long it's freely falling under gravity but not when you hit the ground.
反过来说,如果你得到一个结果,发现似乎是错的,那么你就应该回过头来问问自己,我是不是违反某些前提了,这个模型中,你就发现,只要质点在重力作用下自由下落,质点具有加速度a的前提是正确的,但是落地后就不成立了
应用推荐