The point of anchoring is that you are subconsciously influenced by numbers and it affects your judgment; you think you know.
锚定效应的意义在于,人在潜意识里被数字影响,并且会影响决策,你以为你会知道答案
I used to be a campus tour guide, and what I'd say is, you know, everyone uses a number.
我以前是校园的导游,我要说的是,每个人都用数字。
Twenty-eight percent-- only 28% are eating the recommended amount of vegetables, so this is a pretty discouraging number.
8%,只有28%的人蔬菜摄入达标,这些数字可真叫人泄气
I've got each person's name and I've got a number from each person: a strategy from each person.
我有你们每个人的名字和所选数字,即每个人的策略
And we certainly don't think that in fact most of us are in the position to actually crank out any kind of accurate number.
我们当然不会认为,多数人都能,得出更准确的数字。
A sleep macho used to be "I only get forty-two minutes of sleep a night."
夸大数字的那些人,“我一晚只睡了42分钟”
.. I guess, unfortunately, it is for... there needs to be a number put somewhere, like, I'm not sure what that number would be, but I do agree that there could possibly be a number put on the human life.
我觉得,不幸的是。,有时确实需要标价,不过我不确定具体数字,但我确实认同,人的生命也许可以被标价。
If a person has the basic concept down, regardless of numerical errors, if the person has the basic concept down, he or she must get at least five out of ten.
如果一个人有一些基本的概念,不管一些数字上的错误,如果他有基本的概念,至少都能够得到一半的分。
And some of you will perhaps recognize these numbers, but that's not really relevant for now.
有些人可能事先见过这些数字,但是现在这都无关紧要
There is a sort of school of sleep macho.
有些人夸大数字了。
How many of you, excluding the people who chose 1 last time, how many of you chose a number that was lower than the number you chose last time?
出了上次选1的人,多少人选了比你,上次选择的数还低的数字
Nobody sees the number 3.
没人见过数字。
I think what makes a difference is not only do you, yourselves, know better how to play this game now, but you also know that everybody around you knows better how to play the game.
我觉得因为不仅你们自己,玩这个数字游戏玩得更好了,你们也了解到周围的人,也玩得更高了
Given the number of people in the room there may be multiple winners, I accept that possibility.
教室里每个人都写个数字,确实有可能出现多个赢家
All right, has everyone put a number down?
好了 每个人都写好数字了吗
Has everyone written down a number now?
每个人都写了一个数字了吧
the winner is the person whose number is closest to 2/3 times the average The winner will win $5 minus the difference in pennies between her choice and that two-thirds of the average."
所选数字最接近2/3倍平均数人是赢家,赢家的奖金是5美元减去,所选数和平均数三分之二之差的百分数
Good, so even if everyone in the number-- everyone in the room didn't choose randomly but they all chose a 100, a very unlikely circumstance, but even if everyone had chosen 100, the highest, the average, sorry, the highest two-thirds of the average could possibly be is 66 2/3, hence 67 would be a pretty good choice in that case.
好的,如果每个人,教室里的每个人不是随机选择数字,而是全选了100,这好像不太可能,但如果每个人真的都选了100,就是最大的书,那平均数,抱歉,平均数的2/3会是66又2/3,此情况下67应该是个不错的选项
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