Name me a modern American president who won the presidency without at least some success in the states of the old Confederacy.

谁能告诉我现代哪一位美国总统,能够在失去南方诸州支持后,还能赢得总统大选的

耶鲁公开课 - 美国内战与重建课程节选

We know that there were many candidates in the '92 election and the 2000 election, and we know that "not voting" is important.

我们知道在92年和2000年,有多个候选人参与了大选,还有弃权票对结果也有很大影响

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

We're on the verge now of the first southern primary in this year's election, in South Carolina, and everybody is wondering, is there a new modern South Carolina or not?

我们马上就要迎来在南卡罗来纳州举行的,今年总统大选第一轮南方预选,每一个人都想知道,是否会出现一个崭新的现代的南卡罗来纳

耶鲁公开课 - 美国内战与重建课程节选

Certain kinds of financial markets called "Prediction markets," which may, for example, predict the outcome of an election have been seen to be very accurate predictors, often better than pollsters can manage.

人们称这种金融市场为,"可预测的市场",举个例子来说,市场对某次大选结果的反应,比民调专家,还要更加准确

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

A candidate could say during an election that "I'm a moderate candidate, I'm at position 5" but you might not believe him or her.

一个候选人在整个大选中可能说,我是个中立的候选人,我的立场是5,但你不一定就相信他/她的说法

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

Or, if this is a primary election, a larger share of the vote gives you a bigger push for the next primary or whatever.

或者把它看成是总统大选的初选,获得更多的票数,对你下一轮的选举起到积极作用

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

For example, there was Nader in the election in well I guess he was there in the other one as well but he was particularly there in 2000.

例如,纳德也参与到了那次大选,我猜他也在另外一场选举中,但很显然他也参加了2000年的大选

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So what Tony Blair, the guy who won the '97 election, did with "New Labor policy" was he managed to commit to a centrist policy by literally committing to it.

而托尼·布莱尔代表的工党,在97年大选中获胜,他在选举中提出了新工党政策,他成功让选民相信,工党是真正意义上的中间派

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

There's a difference between the primary and general election.

在初选和大选中也存在着区别

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So in principle, in that election in 2000, there was at least four candidates, as it were, four things you could do with your vote.

原则上,在2000年那场大选中,应该有四个选举人,因为你可以投出四种选票

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选