Setting yourself up before the fact so that you can win an argument after the fact, so that you didn't--you just got unlucky.

在事实发生之前先给自己预设一下结局,你就能在事实发生之后赢得一场争论，所以你并不是不能做到-，只是不走运而已。

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

They have a bias. If you ask them, what's the probability that Yale will win the Yale-Harvard game, don't expect Yale students or Harvard students to give an unbiased probability.

人们有偏向性,如果你问他们,耶鲁与哈佛的比赛中耶鲁胜出的几率有多大,不要指望耶鲁或哈佛的学生会给出,一个公正的答案

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

They must have done-- but they didn't win.

他们肯定已经,但是他们不是赢家

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选