ERIC: Why you shooting down my game?Let a playa play. MIKE: Yeah, okay.What you playing at, T-Ball?
VOA: standard.other
That's not what Game Theory is about.
这不是博弈论能解决的
We'll discuss this in a second, but why don't we actually record what the game is, that we're playing first.
一会再开始分析,我们先记录一下这个游戏的内容
Now, the secret to this game is no matter what happens, never, ever...
VOA: standard.other
So the inventor of the chess game said, "Ok. What I like is on the first block, first square, I would like one grain of rice.
于是象棋发明者说,“好吧,我希望,在第一个方格上,我想要一粒大米。
One fan at the U.S.-China game, American Margaret Byrd, told VOA Sports she enjoyed the contest and that no matter what the score, the players need to go all out.
VOA: standard.2010.02.15
You might think that what a computer, what a chess-playing computer does is just this: it calculates every possible branch, every possible game from here on out.
你可能认为,一台电脑,或一台下棋电脑所做的工作就是这样,计算出所有可能的下法,以及与之对应的各种可能的棋局
What it is doing, is saying, change the game.
它做的事情就是改变整个游戏。
What do you think politics is, a game of moral purity?
你认为政治是什么,是关于道德纯洁的游戏?
They have a bias. If you ask them, what's the probability that Yale will win the Yale-Harvard game, don't expect Yale students or Harvard students to give an unbiased probability.
人们有偏向性,如果你问他们,耶鲁与哈佛的比赛中耶鲁胜出的几率有多大,不要指望耶鲁或哈佛的学生会给出,一个公正的答案
In particular, I want to develop and make sure we all understand, what are the ingredients of a game?
就是我希望大家都够理解,博弈的要素有哪些
No, they didn't. Not initially at any rate, but notice as we played the game repeatedly, what happens?
我觉得绝对没有人会,但是注意下如果我们重复博弈会怎样呢
However, once we know what your payoffs are, once we know what your goals are, perhaps Game Theory can you help you get there.
然而一旦你知道了个人的收益,一旦你确立了目标,博弈论能帮助你达成目标
So in particular, we need to figure out what formally makes something into a game.
具体来说,我们需要搞清楚怎么样才能形成博弈
We change the payoffs, we change what people cared about, and we get a very different game with a very different outcome.
我们改变了收益,我们改变了目的,那我们就改变了博弈,改变了结果
So we can't really start analyzing a game until we know what people care about, and until we know what the payoffs are.
只有明白人们关心什么,知道人们的收益是什么之后,我们才能真正开始分析这个博弈
So the big lesson of this game is-- i forgot what number we're up too-- I guess this is Lesson 4 I think.
这个博弈的重要结论,我忘了第几个了,我记得应该是第四个
What's missing in this model of this piece of soccer, this game within a game?
在这个足球的模型中我们忽略了什么,这是一个博弈的模型对吧
So what we're going to do is we're going to hold essentially this game.
我们要做的是,我们将抓住这个博弈的本质
We've played it three times, Let's try and figure out what the equilibria looked like in this game.
我们做了三次,我们试着解决,此博弈中的均衡是什么样子
And what we're going to do today is analyze this game under both those possible payoffs.
接下来我们分别用不同收益,来分析一下这个博弈
It's a good idea to try and figure out what your goals are-- what you're trying to achieve-- before you go ahead and analyze the game.
它能帮我们在分析博弈之前,先弄清我们的目的是什么
What is it that's different about this game from the... What's the obvious thing just looking at this picture that makes it different from the partnership game.
这个博弈的不同之处在于,从这个图上能很明显看到的,它与确实与合伙人博弈有所区别
So in that game, what's the Nash Equilibrium in that game?
那个数字游戏中的纳什均衡是什么
So we want to know what's going to happen in this game.
我们都想知道这个博弈会怎么进行
What it's saying is one strategy for each player in the game.
他表示每个参与人都有一个对应的策略
So everyone see what I did? I started with a game.
大家看清楚了吗,刚开始
And clearly in this game what matters is coordinating.
很显然协调能起到作用
In that game, if you remember what the best responses looked like, they looked like this where this was the effort of Player 1; this was the effort of Player 2.
不知道你们还记不记得最佳对策是什么了,这条线代表参与人1的付出,这条代表参与人2的付出
What is the most important game in the world?
世界上最重要的运动是什么
应用推荐