ERIC: Why you shooting down my game?Let a playa play. MIKE: Yeah, okay.What you playing at, T-Ball?

VOA: standard.other

We'll discuss this in a second, but why don't we actually record what the game is, that we're playing first.

一会再开始分析,我们先记录一下这个游戏的内容

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

In particular, I want to develop and make sure we all understand, what are the ingredients of a game?

就是我希望大家都够理解,博弈的要素有哪些

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

You might think that what a computer, what a chess-playing computer does is just this: it calculates every possible branch, every possible game from here on out.

你可能认为,一台电脑,或一台下棋电脑所做的工作就是这样,计算出所有可能的下法,以及与之对应的各种可能的棋局

耶鲁公开课 - 死亡课程节选

What do you think politics is, a game of moral purity?

你认为政治是什么，是关于道德纯洁的游戏？

耶鲁公开课 - 政治哲学导论课程节选

They have a bias. If you ask them, what's the probability that Yale will win the Yale-Harvard game, don't expect Yale students or Harvard students to give an unbiased probability.

人们有偏向性,如果你问他们,耶鲁与哈佛的比赛中耶鲁胜出的几率有多大,不要指望耶鲁或哈佛的学生会给出,一个公正的答案

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

We change the payoffs, we change what people cared about, and we get a very different game with a very different outcome.

我们改变了收益,我们改变了目的,那我们就改变了博弈,改变了结果

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So in particular, we need to figure out what formally makes something into a game.

具体来说,我们需要搞清楚怎么样才能形成博弈

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So imagine what we're going to look at is a game involving a partnership.

想一下如果博弈中加入了合伙人会怎样

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

What I want to do is I want to draw a picture, a little bit like we did for the partnership game.

下面我来画出函数图像,这与合伙人博弈的有点像

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So we can't really start analyzing a game until we know what people care about, and until we know what the payoffs are.

只有明白人们关心什么,知道人们的收益是什么之后,我们才能真正开始分析这个博弈

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

What's missing in this model of this piece of soccer, this game within a game?

在这个足球的模型中我们忽略了什么,这是一个博弈的模型对吧

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So everyone see what I did? I started with a game.

大家看清楚了吗,刚开始

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

Right now we have actions, strategies for people to take, and we know what the outcomes are, but we're missing something that will make this a game.

目前我们涉及行为,策略,局中人,而且我们知道不同的结果,但是我们忽略了一个博弈必备的因素

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

What is it about talking about this game that makes a difference?

在我们讲了这么多之后,有什么不同了吗

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

I think what makes a difference is not only do you, yourselves, know better how to play this game now, but you also know that everybody around you knows better how to play the game.

我觉得因为不仅你们自己,玩这个数字游戏玩得更好了,你们也了解到周围的人,也玩得更高了

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So what I want to do is, I want to lay this out a little bit more formally as a game, since we haven't done anything like this for a week or so, we're going to play the game.

我想做的是,把这个安排得更正式一点 就像博弈一样,因为我们已经大约一个星期没有这样做了,我们将做这个博弈

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

Now, with this in hand, what I want to do is, and in Firm 2 I have a similar expression, what I want to do is, I want to figure out the Nash Equilibrium of this game.

知道它了以后,因为公司2的表达式也是相似的,接下来我们就可以尝试找出纳什均衡了

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

The point here is when you're playing a game, you want to think about what other people are trying to do, to try and predict what they're trying to do, and it's not necessarily a great starting point to assume that the people around you are random number generators.

这里的要点是当你在进行游戏时,你想要推测出其他人的想法,想要推测出他们可能的选择,假设别人是随机数生成器可不是,一个很好的出发点

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选