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Because we're as skeptical about skepticism as we are about anything else we're likely to raise our eyebrows and say, "Hmm. Doesn't this guy Foucault think he's an author?
因为我们对怀疑论的怀疑,肯定和我们扬起眉毛质疑其他事物是一样的，我们会说：“嗯，这个叫福柯的人自称是作家吗？
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And we've already agreed that if I think it's equally likely they're going to choose right and left, that there's a probability ?
而且我们已经计算过了,如果我觉得对手,选左选右的概率相同,即他们选右的概率为1/2时
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PROFESSOR: Great question. So the question is, how do you choose an algorithm, why would I choose to use a pseudo-polynomial algorithm when I don't know how big the solution is likely to be, I think that's one way to think about it.
教授：问得好，所以问题是，你怎样选择算法，为什么当我,不知道解决方案会有多大的时候,我要选伪多项式算法呢，我想这是一种思考问题的方式。
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And if you believe in souls, you're likely to think same soul as well.
如果你相信灵魂论,你也会认为同样的灵魂是关键。
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He is more likely to think like an actuary or a CPA or an insurance agent, always calculating the odds and finding ways to cover the damages.
他们更可能做保险员，注册会计师,或是保险代理人，因为这样的人更容易把握事情胜负的几率,以及时有效地找到补救之法。
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So that's something to think about.The closer these pitches are together, the more likely they are to be dissonant--and the desire to have some space added there.
所以想一想，这些音靠的越近就越容易不和谐，让人想在其中嵌入一些空间。
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In fact though, the children who you reward later on think that this activity has less value and they are less likely to do it when there's no reward present.
但事实上，拿到奖励的孩子会想,这个活动的价值变低了，如果没有奖励,他们就不太可能会再做。
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And we know that Down does best if I think it was equally likely that the person was going to choose Left and Right.
我们还知道如果我们认为对手,选左或者是右的可能性相同的情况下,下是此情况下最好的策略
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Let's look at my payoffs from choosing these three options Up, Middle, and Down, if I think it's equally likely that my opponent will choose Left and Right.
我们来看一下我从上中下这三个策略中,分别能获得什么样的收益,如果我认为我对手,选择左或右的可能性相同
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They're more likely to think oh, caffeine, yeah.
他们更可能思考，或许真是咖啡因的作用。
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This was falsified in the NATO bombing of, I think, Sarajevo but still his heart's in the right place, the idea that interconnection makes you more likely to get along with other people.
虽然北约轰炸萨拉热窝就证明这个理论是错的,但他的理论出发点是没错的，因为它背后的实质就是互相联系,使你和别人更容易好好相处。
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If I thought there was 2/3 probability they'd choose Left and 1/3 probability they'd choose Right, then I think it's twice as likely they're going to choose Left, and I could redo this calculation.
如果你觉得对手选左的可能性是2/3,而选右的可能性是1/3,即对手选左的可能性是右的2倍时,我们再重新计算一下
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And it doesn't matter which slide he speeds up the tape of the heartbeat on, that's the one the subject is more likely to think is the person of their dreams, the person they're attracted to.
他在放哪张幻灯片的时候,加速录音并不重要，受试者更有可能认为,这个幻灯片上的人就是他的梦中情人。
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If we play this game up in the business school, I think it's quite likely we're going to get a lot of Alpha's chosen, right?
要是我们在商学院进行这个博弈,我觉得会有很多人选α
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What about my expected payoff from choosing Middle against , so in this case where I think it's equally likely that my opponents going to choose Left or Right?
那我在情况下,选中的预期收益是什么呢,在此情况下我依然认为,对手选左选右的可能性相同
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If inequality is morally objectionable, then it's very likely we're going to think it's morally horrendous that there's this crucial inequality: some of us die a the age of 5 while others get to live to 90.
如果不平等会引起道德异议，那么很可能我们会认为这是道德沦丧,因为这里有种非常严重的不平等：,有些人在5岁就死了而有些人却活到90岁。
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if I think it's more likely than this crossing point Y I think it's very likely they're going to choose Right.
如果我觉得对手选右的概率,会在交点Y的右方
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