I want to play one more game today in the remaining minutes.
在剩下这几分钟我们再玩一个游戏吧
In the investment game, the more likely I was to invest, the more likely you, the more you wanted to invest.
在投资博弈中我投资的概率越大,你们也就越想要投资
Now for the hacker edition, if you are feeling up to a bit more of a challenge you'll find that when you run the game, one it's not all that hard to use some ASCII art just make it a little fancier as the teaching fellow who implemented this solution did.
对于升级版,如果你能应付更大的,挑战,你会发现当你在玩这个游戏时,用一些字符画把它做得,比那些教学人员做的更有新意,并不是那么困难。
The problem is even more severe when you're looking at mutual funds because there's kind of a cynical game that mutual fund management companies play.
当你去观察基金市场,会发现问题更严重,因为基金管理公司,会玩一个偷梁换柱的把戏
Neither it is a negative sum game-- it's not that my happiness takes away from other people's happiness which will be a negative sum game: if I have more, you'll necessarily have less.
也不是负和游戏-,我的快乐不是从别人那里夺来,那将是负和游戏:,我有更多,你一定更少。
This was thought by many to be a positive change but in game rich environments where there was a lot of meat available, people could actually get many more calories per hour-- that is secure more food that would help fend off starvation compared to what they could get for people cultivating food.
很多人都认为这是一个积极的改变,然而 在那些富饶地区,获取肉类轻而易举,同样时间内,人类可以获取更多能量,相对那些靠种植获取食物的人类来说,这些地区有足够多的食物来抵御饥荒
So we're getting a little bit further away from the game and more back into the real world.
我们有点扯远了,回到正题上来吧
So this is a game, just to give you some more jargon, this is a normal-form game.
用专业术语来说,这个博弈,属于标准式的博弈
This game also has the feature that the more effort the other person, the more the other person does, the more you want to do.
这个博弈也有这个特征,别人越努力你就会越努力
I know this might be changing the game a little bit, but if you ever expected to play the same game with the partner you have more.
我知道这可能会稍微改变点这个博弈,但是如果你认为以后你还会,和你的对手进行相同博弈
Why is this a more difficult game to attain coordination in?
为什么这个博弈更难协调
Why is this a slightly more difficult game?
为什么这个博弈更难一些呢
This game that's going on more or less right now in the primaries, well I guess the entry stage of it is gone now.
这个博弈在一定程度上,正在现在的总统初选中进行着,我猜是否要参选的阶段已经结束了
So what I want to do is, I want to lay this out a little bit more formally as a game, since we haven't done anything like this for a week or so, we're going to play the game.
我想做的是,把这个安排得更正式一点 就像博弈一样,因为我们已经大约一个星期没有这样做了,我们将做这个博弈
It's not even a zero-- or rather if I have less, you'll have less- that's a negative sum game-- or a zero sum game-- if I have more, you'll have less- it's a fixed pie.
甚至不是一个零…,或者我更少,你也会更少,那也是负和游戏-,或零和游戏,我更多,你就会更少-,饼就那么大。
So those of you who haven't, don't worry, I mean this will be a bit review, but we'll see it more through the eyes of Game Theory this time, and for those of you who haven't, don't worry we're going to go through it.
如果你没学过,也不必担心,我们一起来快速回顾一下吧,但这次我们用博弈论的角度去分析,那些之前没有学过的同学,别担心,现在我们一起来看一遍
Then much later on, when we looked at some more complicated payoffs and a more complicated game, we looked at a different lesson which was this: put yourself in others' shoes to try and figure out what they're going to do.
在这之后我们通过研究更复杂的收益,以及更复杂的博弈,我们得出了另外一个结论,站在别人的立场去思考,他们会怎么做
One other remark before we leave this, in the game we played last time, in the investment game, one feature of that game was that the more you thought other people were going to invest, the more you wanted to invest.
在继续讲下面的内容前,我再多说几句,上一讲的投资博弈有一个特征,就是如果你越认为大家会投资,你就越想投资
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