When they invented fire insurance, in the 1600s, there was a lot of skepticism because anyone can burn down their house.
十七世纪时,人们发明了火险,当时存在很多质疑,因为任何人都可以烧毁他们的房子。
I get fire insurance on my house and so I behave badly: I deliberately burn the house down to collect on my insurance.
我为我的房子投了火险,于是我就:,我故意烧毁房屋,以便领走保险金。
Now, how can the insurance company ever evaluate every house properly to avoid that?
如今,保险公司是如何准确评估,每一个房屋的价值而避免那种情况呢?
The classic moral hazard problem is the problem that you give fire insurance on a house and someone burns down the house in order to collect the insurance.
有个经典的道德风险的例子就是,给一栋房子投保了火险,有人就可能会烧了这栋房子,以获得保险赔付
They said, it's not going to work because you have to decide how much the house is insured for and then anybody--If you ever make a mistake and you insure it for too much, then the people who realize they've got one on the insurance company-- they've insured the house for more than it's worth-- they'll burn down their house and collect the money.
他们说,火险根本无法实施,因为你必须判断,这房子的保价是多少,一旦你出现了一些失误,保价评估得过高,那些意识到他们可能会从,保险公司赚利的人们-,即保险公司的保价高于房子的实际价值-,他们就会烧掉自己的房子来赚钱。
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